CL Final Betting

Paddy power are doing various MBS on the game. I got this in an email today and I said i'd pass it on. Does anyone think there is any value in this? Or is it a bit risky?

Paddypower offering money back on all correct score/first goalscorer/scorecast bets on the Champions League final if Barca win in normal time on Saturday. It offers a chance for a no lose situation (unless Utd somehow score 4 goals)

Back the bets below for an outlay of 200 (all the win bets are Utd winning). If Barca win then you get the 200 back. If any of the scores come off you get a profit of about 133 squids

 

I noticed they have omitted united 3-0??

 

Gonna stick Iniesta to score first and finish 2 - 1 to barca , even with the scum having home advantage

 

Unless the game doesn't end in normal time,.

 

certainly looks tempting.

been thinking myself of doing 5 x 10eur scorecasts with the safety net of a Barca win in 90 mins getting my money back.

 

but you;d still win on one of the above draw bets barring the mancs scoring 4 goals

 

Never mind my last post, just realised draws were being backed as well,. Looks tempting. I'd be 1000 euro confident that man u won't score 3-0

 

I'm finding this bet very tempting. Just want to make sure there isn't any loopholes we are missing out on.

 

where are you getting the odds by the way. I don;t see those prices on PP

 

Ah there could lie a problem. I just got the email and didn't fact check it. Are they off by much, im off tomorrow, I'll look it up.

 

from PP

0-0 13/2
1-1 5/1
2-2 14/1
1-0 9/1
2-0 17/1
2-1 14/1
3-3 75/1
3-1 35/1
3-2 50/1

they also offer the 3-0 scum at 55/1

anyone fancy doing up a little table like the original with the new odds and include a 3-0 maybe ?

PP are offering worse odds than everyone else, but they are the only ones essentially offering the free bet on goalscorers win/score casts and correct scores if Barca win,.

 

here's a rough one done up with the ultimate safety net of 4 goals included: Last column is profit. total outlay (potential loss) is 210 for this table:

0-0 6.5 40 300 90
1-1 5 50 300 90
2-2 14 20 300 90
3-3 75 4.2 319.2 109.2
1-0 9 31 310 100
2-0 17 17.1 307.8 97.8
3-0 55 5.5 308 98
2-1 14 20 300 90
3-1 35 8.5 306 96
3-2 50 6 306 96
4-0 225 1.4 316.4 106.4
4-1 125 2.5 315 105
4-2 175 1.8 316.8 106.8
4-3 300 1.1 331.1 121.1
4-4 350 0.9 315.9 105.9
210

 

I'd be more wary of Utd winning 3-0 than them scoring for goals, so I'd nearly include that and up my stake,.

 

Are we missing something here, Surely PaddyPower can't be that silly?

 

As long as man u don't score 5 goals amd win or draw in 90 mins you win money, or at the very worst get your money back. Best case scenario is a draw and then barca beat them,.

 

This is restricted to €100 refund according to the PP website, so this strategy will not work unless all stakes are halved. Therefore there is only half the net gain if Scum win or draw in 90 mins.

 

100 euro per bet, not spread out over mutiple bets so should be ok, even still a no risk profit of 45 euro is better than no profit,.

 

it is included

 

Good stuff lads, this is why I posted this. To make sure there is no caveats or loopholes.

 

Yep the 3-0 should be included to ensure all bets are covered.