Dub13
23-07-2009, 12:31 PM
Stolen from another site but I think this lad has a nice breakdown of this market.
Thought I would jot down some thoughts on this. Ranked the top ten guys by their best prices which are currently available. Avoiding Betfair prices as I tend to go each way on these bets. Goal stats are from Wiki and were probably made up by a ten year old.
10. Adebayor - 26.0 at Coral
Pro's: Good season a couple of years ago.
Con's: City have six million strikers. Not guaranteed a game.
9. Robinho - 26.0 at Coral
Pro's: Decent first season in the Premier League last year.
Con's: See Adebayor.
8. Defoe - 26.0 at various books
Pro's - Proven goalscorer in this league. Nearly guaranteed a game if he stay's fit. Not involved in Europe which for this type of bet is a bonus.
Con's - He's not exactly prolific though. 108 goals in 300 league games (Wiki).
7. Steven Gerrard - 23.0 at Expekt
Pro's - Great season last year. Plays behind Torres these days so gets plenty of chances. Takes pennos and free kicks.
Con's - Not many at that price. Involved in European games.
6. Van Persie - 21.0 at various.
Pro's - Improvement last year in the number of games he played. Can take free kicks and pennos.
Con's - Wenger drops him occasionally so he does not seem to be over his injuries.
5. Michael Owen 21.0 at VCBet.
Pro's - Used to be good. Couple of goals in two games pre season for United.
Con's - Ferguson said today that he will not play every game and expects to use him as an impact sub. Always injured.
4. Rooney - 14.0 at Expekt
Pro's - Can expect to play more up front with Ronaldo gone. 80 goals in 224 league games.
Con's - Only scored more than 15 league goals once in his career.
3. Anelka - 13.0 at Paddy Power
Pro's - Last season's top scorer with 19 league goals in 35 league games.
Con's - Under new management at Chelsea.
2. Drogba - 12.0 at Expekt
Pro's - Very good player.
Con's - Questions about his future at Chelsea before the end of last season. Only played 41 league games in the last two years at Chelsea. Poor price.
1. Torres - 5.0 at Various
Pro's - Goal machine. 120 goals in 271 league games. Includes 14 league goals in 24 games last season. If he stays fit he could run away with it.
Con's - Injury worries but not as bad as I thought. Last season was the first time he has played lest than 25 league games since the first year of his career. Price is very, very low though.
Overall:
Gerrard's price stands out at 23.0 Expekt don't seem to have an each-way price though. Ladbrokes have him at 21.0 at 1/4 each way. Think that Liverpool will challenge for the league this season as Ronaldo is a big loss for United.
Torres price is just too low for me.
Possible mental outsider bets would include Eduardo and Arshavin at 34.0 (Ladbrokes). Wenger says he has no plans to replace Adebayor and said that the return of Eduardo is like having a new player. However, Eduardo has been practically broken by serious injuries in recent years.
Arshavin made a very impressive start to his career at Arsenal scoring 6 goals in 12 league games. This was despite him not being played up front. If Wenger moves him forward this price could be valuetastic.
Mez pic: Arshavin 34.0 each way at Ladbrokes (1/4)
Thought I would jot down some thoughts on this. Ranked the top ten guys by their best prices which are currently available. Avoiding Betfair prices as I tend to go each way on these bets. Goal stats are from Wiki and were probably made up by a ten year old.
10. Adebayor - 26.0 at Coral
Pro's: Good season a couple of years ago.
Con's: City have six million strikers. Not guaranteed a game.
9. Robinho - 26.0 at Coral
Pro's: Decent first season in the Premier League last year.
Con's: See Adebayor.
8. Defoe - 26.0 at various books
Pro's - Proven goalscorer in this league. Nearly guaranteed a game if he stay's fit. Not involved in Europe which for this type of bet is a bonus.
Con's - He's not exactly prolific though. 108 goals in 300 league games (Wiki).
7. Steven Gerrard - 23.0 at Expekt
Pro's - Great season last year. Plays behind Torres these days so gets plenty of chances. Takes pennos and free kicks.
Con's - Not many at that price. Involved in European games.
6. Van Persie - 21.0 at various.
Pro's - Improvement last year in the number of games he played. Can take free kicks and pennos.
Con's - Wenger drops him occasionally so he does not seem to be over his injuries.
5. Michael Owen 21.0 at VCBet.
Pro's - Used to be good. Couple of goals in two games pre season for United.
Con's - Ferguson said today that he will not play every game and expects to use him as an impact sub. Always injured.
4. Rooney - 14.0 at Expekt
Pro's - Can expect to play more up front with Ronaldo gone. 80 goals in 224 league games.
Con's - Only scored more than 15 league goals once in his career.
3. Anelka - 13.0 at Paddy Power
Pro's - Last season's top scorer with 19 league goals in 35 league games.
Con's - Under new management at Chelsea.
2. Drogba - 12.0 at Expekt
Pro's - Very good player.
Con's - Questions about his future at Chelsea before the end of last season. Only played 41 league games in the last two years at Chelsea. Poor price.
1. Torres - 5.0 at Various
Pro's - Goal machine. 120 goals in 271 league games. Includes 14 league goals in 24 games last season. If he stays fit he could run away with it.
Con's - Injury worries but not as bad as I thought. Last season was the first time he has played lest than 25 league games since the first year of his career. Price is very, very low though.
Overall:
Gerrard's price stands out at 23.0 Expekt don't seem to have an each-way price though. Ladbrokes have him at 21.0 at 1/4 each way. Think that Liverpool will challenge for the league this season as Ronaldo is a big loss for United.
Torres price is just too low for me.
Possible mental outsider bets would include Eduardo and Arshavin at 34.0 (Ladbrokes). Wenger says he has no plans to replace Adebayor and said that the return of Eduardo is like having a new player. However, Eduardo has been practically broken by serious injuries in recent years.
Arshavin made a very impressive start to his career at Arsenal scoring 6 goals in 12 league games. This was despite him not being played up front. If Wenger moves him forward this price could be valuetastic.
Mez pic: Arshavin 34.0 each way at Ladbrokes (1/4)